I wanted to put my down my thoughts and observations on why I think the emigrant crisis in Europe is not going to get better anytime soon.
First put yourself in the position of an emigrant. You started as a refugee from a war torn country as you run to a nearby country for safety. You had a life back home and you had to leave everything to save your life. You were placed in a refugee camp close to the border with hundreds of thousands people just like you, two years ago. In the last two years nothing changed in your life. The same routine, nothing to do, life without meaning, just existence. You recently heard that there are people running away from the camp towards Europe, and those that reached Germany got money to live on, accommodation and ability to look for work. The smugglers can get you on the boat, but the journey is risky. After some time and weighting the options you decide to go, better to take the chance than sit here and do nothing.
So the emigrants pay the smuggler, wait for their chance to board the boat and set off towards Europe. They arrive in Greece, register and are being placed in a refugee camp. They decide to escape as another refugee camp is not what they paid and risked for. They get on foot and join the group that also goes to Germany. They encounter trouble at the Hungarian boarder as they want to register them again, and most likely send them to another refugee camp. Getting on the train in Budapest is blocked which makes them more aggravated, but eventually they arrive in Germany. They made it and thousands more with them. They come in with all hopes and dreams they call Germany...
Relocation of emigrants between other European countries
Wouldn't the emigrants feel cheated if they were send to a different country other than the Germany? Wouldn't they feel that they would have had a better life if they were not relocated from Germany? Will relocation to Hungary as an example feel like a set back?
Our borders are open...
There are no information on how many people properly applied for emigration status with any of the affected European countries, but I don't believe there were none. The application process is usually lengthy and requires different background checks. By announcing that the borders are open the emigrants are encouraged to not use the legal process, but to risk the trip through the Mediterranean sea. It encourages people to escape refugee camps for a better chance of getting to Europe.
Rumor has it...
that there are thousands of people that went to Germany and they were welcomed with open hearts. All you need to do is get to EU and you are almost there. Wouldn't you take a chance?
They made it.. why can't I?
The economics
Many of the emigrants do not know the language of the country they are in. The first step for them will be to learn German, French, Hungarian, Swedish etc. While the emigrant is learning the language and looking for work, the family needs to be fed and dressed thus they will require assistance. The time required to learn the basics of a language and getting a job will probably take about a year.
Finding a job will be another challenge. There will be thousands of people suddenly looking for work.
I'm concerned that there will be more deaths, more suffering and more disappointments before the crisis is over... and there is no easy resolution.
Europe should have not turned the blind eye when Greece and Italy were asking for help. The crisis was there all along... it is just now escalating and getting out of hand. As of now a group of 7000 is marching from Macedonia, the largest group so far...
First put yourself in the position of an emigrant. You started as a refugee from a war torn country as you run to a nearby country for safety. You had a life back home and you had to leave everything to save your life. You were placed in a refugee camp close to the border with hundreds of thousands people just like you, two years ago. In the last two years nothing changed in your life. The same routine, nothing to do, life without meaning, just existence. You recently heard that there are people running away from the camp towards Europe, and those that reached Germany got money to live on, accommodation and ability to look for work. The smugglers can get you on the boat, but the journey is risky. After some time and weighting the options you decide to go, better to take the chance than sit here and do nothing.
So the emigrants pay the smuggler, wait for their chance to board the boat and set off towards Europe. They arrive in Greece, register and are being placed in a refugee camp. They decide to escape as another refugee camp is not what they paid and risked for. They get on foot and join the group that also goes to Germany. They encounter trouble at the Hungarian boarder as they want to register them again, and most likely send them to another refugee camp. Getting on the train in Budapest is blocked which makes them more aggravated, but eventually they arrive in Germany. They made it and thousands more with them. They come in with all hopes and dreams they call Germany...
Relocation of emigrants between other European countries
Wouldn't the emigrants feel cheated if they were send to a different country other than the Germany? Wouldn't they feel that they would have had a better life if they were not relocated from Germany? Will relocation to Hungary as an example feel like a set back?
Our borders are open...
There are no information on how many people properly applied for emigration status with any of the affected European countries, but I don't believe there were none. The application process is usually lengthy and requires different background checks. By announcing that the borders are open the emigrants are encouraged to not use the legal process, but to risk the trip through the Mediterranean sea. It encourages people to escape refugee camps for a better chance of getting to Europe.
Rumor has it...
that there are thousands of people that went to Germany and they were welcomed with open hearts. All you need to do is get to EU and you are almost there. Wouldn't you take a chance?
They made it.. why can't I?
The economics
Many of the emigrants do not know the language of the country they are in. The first step for them will be to learn German, French, Hungarian, Swedish etc. While the emigrant is learning the language and looking for work, the family needs to be fed and dressed thus they will require assistance. The time required to learn the basics of a language and getting a job will probably take about a year.
Finding a job will be another challenge. There will be thousands of people suddenly looking for work.
I'm concerned that there will be more deaths, more suffering and more disappointments before the crisis is over... and there is no easy resolution.
Europe should have not turned the blind eye when Greece and Italy were asking for help. The crisis was there all along... it is just now escalating and getting out of hand. As of now a group of 7000 is marching from Macedonia, the largest group so far...
Germany is now closing the borders to regulate the influx of people....
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